signed to reduce CCE) cohort as the at risk of CCE class, and a set of children assumed not to be at risk of criminal exploitation, taken from the Police database, which includes all young people under 18 years old in Avon and Somerset. Targeted Risk Model Outputs (NEET, CSE & CCE) In addition to the score provided by the models summarising the risk factors an individual case is subject to, the models also produce text descriptions of what the scores mean to make the information more accessible and easier to understand for frontline practitioners. Figure 27: Text description of risk score results from the CSE and CCE models 7b. Why were the Targeted Risk models created? The driving idea of having a tool that could provide predictive analysis led to the creation of the three risk models that were developed in Bristol. The Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) Model This model was originally built as a proof of concept for a predictive model that used the TFD to help inform decision-making by frontline staff in Bristol, primarily safeguarding leads in schools. At the time, leaders of the Insight Bristol team were looking to propose the creation of a predictive model schools had already developed, the RONI index, which was used to find Children and Young People (CYP) at risk of becoming NEET. The index was a crude risk matrix and the Insight Bristol team felt that, with access to all the social data already held within the TFD, they could develop a far more sophisticated and useful model. The proposed model would not predict if CYP would become NEET but rather highlight risk factors. This was therefore easier to ‘sell’ to other stakeholders across the council, because it was seen as further developing a tool that was already in use by schools. Additionally, while